European eCommerce Market Size 2024: Worth 1 Trillion Dollars Soon

Table of Contents

  1. Introduction
  2. Resilience and Growth of European eCommerce
  3. Top eCommerce Markets in Europe
  4. European eCommerce Market on Its Way to US$1 Trillion
  5. Conclusion

Introduction

Imagine a marketplace where businesses from as far north as Norway and as south as Greece connect with millions of consumers at the click of a button. That exemplifies the current state of European eCommerce. After experiencing an exponential rise between 2019 to 2021, which saw a sales increase of 66%, the landscape of online shopping in Europe faced a temporary decline in 2022. However, it is back on a growth trajectory, poised to potentially reach an impressive market value of US$955 billion by 2028. This blog post aims to delve into the complexities and trends that are shaping the European eCommerce market in 2024, including the top markets, preferred payment methods, and how different countries contribute to this burgeoning industry.

Resilience and Growth of European eCommerce

The European eCommerce market has demonstrated remarkable resilience, bouncing back from a post-pandemic slump to a renewed path of growth. Predicted to hit a market size of US$1 trillion shortly, the recovery signifies strategic shifts and consumer behavior adaptation across the continent.

The Role of Top Markets

A look at the top markets in Europe highlights a clear segmentation in consumer preferences and market dynamics. Fashion and Electronics have consistently been best-sellers. The sub-categories of Apparel and Consumer Electronics, in particular, find significant traction among European consumers. This category distribution points towards a digitally-driven, convenience-seeking shopping ethos prevalent among European shoppers.

Digital Wallets and Payment Preferences

Another defining trend in European eCommerce is the prominent use of digital wallets. Dominating 38% of online payments in key regions like the UK, digital wallets provide a seamless transaction method that appeals to a tech-savvy customer base. Other methods like direct account-to-account transfers, popular in Poland, the Netherlands, and Sweden, indicate a market leaning towards quick and secure payment practices. Surprisingly, Turkey remains an outlier with credit cards being the most preferred option.

Divergence in eCommerce Revenues

Revenue generation through eCommerce varies significantly across Europe. Countries like Ireland, Czechia, and Belgium have some of the highest revenue shares, indicating a greater reliance on online commerce. Meanwhile, the UK leads in market size as a percentage of GDP, a testament to the widespread adoption of online shopping. Smaller economies in Southern and Eastern Europe like Greece, Portugal, and Poland are also beginning to harness their potential, showing promising growth rates that could redefine the market landscape in the near future.

Top eCommerce Markets in Europe

The United Kingdom

Standing as the largest eCommerce market in Europe and the third-largest globally, the UK's online retail market represents 26% of its total retail industry. By 2028, this figure is expected to rise to 31%, with Amazon.co.uk currently dominating the scene with US$16.1 billion in revenue. The UK eCommerce market is anticipated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.4% from 2024 to 2028, potentially reaching US$217.5 billion.

Germany

Germany is the second-largest eCommerce market in Europe, ranked sixth globally. The country's online retail market accounts for 17% of its retail sector, projected to grow to 21% by 2028. Amazon.de holds a substantial share with US$17.1 billion in revenue. The German eCommerce market, growing at a CAGR of 4.6%, is expected to hit US$143.5 billion by 2028.

France

France ranks third in Europe and ninth globally in eCommerce market size. The French online retail market, contributing 17% to the overall retail sector, is dominated by Amazon.fr, generating US$5.8 billion in revenue. France's eCommerce market is poised to expand at a CAGR of 4.6% from 2024, reaching a market volume of US$90.8 billion by 2028.

Russia

Ranked fourth in Europe and tenth worldwide, Russia's eCommerce market makes up 9% of its retail industry but is projected to grow to 12% by 2028. Wildberries.ru leads with US$5.9 billion in revenue. The Russian eCommerce market, anticipated to rise at a CAGR of 5.3%, could reach US$86.2 billion by 2028.

Italy

Italy holds the fifth slot in Europe and is the 13th largest eCommerce market globally. Online retail in Italy accounts for 12% of the retail sector, expected to grow to 17% by 2028. Amazon.it is the leading player, with a revenue of US$5.6 billion. The Italian market is set to grow at a CAGR of 8%, reaching US$56.5 billion by 2028.

European eCommerce Market on Its Way to US$1 Trillion

The pandemic served as a catalyst for an unprecedented boost in eCommerce across Europe. Between 2019 and 2021, market sales surged from US$423 billion to US$702 billion. Despite experiencing a 7% decline in 2022, the market is regaining momentum with projections pegging the 2024 market size at US$745 billion and aiming for US$955 billion by 2028.

What Europeans Buy Online

Fashion stands as the leading category in European online shopping, occupying 21.6% of market revenue, closely followed by Electronics and Hobby & Leisure. Breaking down further, Consumer Electronics and Apparel are the sub-categories with the highest shares in the market.

Digital Wallets: The Top Payment Method

Digital wallets emerge as the favored payment method, especially in the UK where 38% of shoppers prefer them. Account-to-account payments are also gaining traction, particularly in Poland, the Netherlands, and Sweden. Moreover, the Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) option has found significant acceptance in Germany and Sweden.

eCommerce Revenue Share by Country

Ireland, Czechia, and Belgium lead in eCommerce revenue, highlighting their mature online markets. Meanwhile, the UK continues to dominate in market size relative to GDP, with countries like Denmark and Greece also showing robust eCommerce sector adoption.

Conclusion

As the European eCommerce market marches towards a projected value of US$1 trillion, several factors stand out. The resilience and growth patterns, dominated by leading markets like the UK and Germany, highlight the potential for sustained expansion. Fashion and Electronics remain top categories, while digital wallets and account-to-account transfers shape payment preferences. Diverging revenue shares across countries and the increasing penetration in smaller economies add layers of complexity and opportunity.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

What is the largest eCommerce market in Europe? The largest eCommerce market in Europe is the United Kingdom.

What are the key trends in eCommerce in the EU? The key trends include high penetration rates in top economies, fashion as a leading category, and digital wallets being the preferred payment method.

What is the forecast for European eCommerce? The forecast predicts steady growth, with market sales expected to reach US$955 billion by 2028.

By understanding these nuances and trends, businesses can position themselves to thrive in Europe's ever-evolving online marketplace. Whether you're a retailer, a payment service provider, or a logistics partner, grasping these dynamics is crucial for success in European eCommerce.